Howard Lutnick says that Trump’s rates will create “great jobs of the future” that are fixed by factory robots. Labor experts disagree

• The future of work provides the maintenance of automated factories technologySaid the secretary of trade Howard Lutnick CNBC. He proposed that the growth of manufacturing in the United States as a result of the rates of President Donald Trump would promote more jobs in the form of factory work. Labor experts are doubtful about the growth and sustainability of these jobs.

The Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, sees a positive by -product of President Donald Trump’s Tariff Plan: A “Renaissance manufacture“In the United States this would lead to the next three generations of North -Americans who occupy factory jobs.

Trump proposed Steep rates During his first days of his return to office, the reduction of imports from China, Vietnam and other manufacturing capitals, in an attempt to develop production centers and supply chains in the United States Lutnick suggested an increase in factory work, obtained by the automated robotic labor force: they could provide an opportunity for American workers to find stable and well paid jobs, starting with $ 70,000 per year.

“It’s time to train people for not doing the past work, but doing the great jobs of the future,” Lutnick I talked to CNBC“The Exchange” Early this week. “This is the new model, where you work on this type of plants for the rest of your life, and your children work here and your grandchildren work here.”

The robots are already beginning to reach the production lines. North -Americans installed automobiles Almost 10% more Robots in factories this year that the previous year, according to the International Robotics Federation of the Commercial Group. Hyundai Group Motor, for example, The Robotics company acquired Boston Dynamics for $ 1.1 billion by 2021.

Increasing automation would provide traders’ opportunities, specifically to people at the Community University or those who decide not to pursue higher education, to form highly formed, according to Lutnick.

“You should see a car plant,” he said. “It is very automated, but the people, (4,000) or 5,000 people who work there, are formed to take care of these robotic arms. They are formed to maintain the air conditioning (going).”

Said a spokesman for the Department of Commerce Fortune The agency promised to reverse the tendency of manufacturing jobs, leaving the United States. Since 1979, the country has lost 6.5 million manufacturing jobs due to outsourcing and previous policies, the person said.

“Secretary Lutnick is committed to revitalizing critical manufacturing in the United States,” the spokesman said in a statement.

More robots, less jobs

But work experts are not convinced of the key and better, the jobs are in the automation of factories. Increased use of industrial robots may have a negative impact on the workforce, according to 2020 by 2020 study From the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Professor Daron Acemoglu. Together with Boston University professor, Pascual Restrepo estimated that adding a robot per 1,000 American workers would reduce salaries by 0.42%and the proportion of occupation-polyment decreases 0.2%. These small percentages add up, costing the United States about 400,000 jobs so far, according to the study.

Although robots increase the efficiency of the factory, it is borne in the factory work, the study demonstrated.

“Our evidence shows that robots increase productivity,” Acemoglu said in a Interview with MIT Sloan School of Management. “They are very important for continuous growth and for companies, but at the same time destroy jobs and reduce job demand. The effects of robots must also be taken into account.”

The role of union

Eric Blanc, a labor historian and a professor of labor studies at the University of Rutgers, argues that, beyond the theoretical idea of ​​creating more factory jobs, the quality and sustainability of these jobs must be taken into account.

“The reason that people associate factory jobs with good jobs and have this nostalgic vision of the time of North -American Manufacture in the 1950’s, when you could have a whole family’s bread winner, which was the product of unionization,” which recently recently white. I talked to Fortune.

While a wave of unionized efforts in the 1930’s and 1940’s created regulations and standards so that factory jobs could be favored by American workers, the Trump administration is decidedly anti-union, said Blanc. By the end of March Trump signed a executive order To direct the federal agencies to stop negotiating groups with the federal unions, an action that a federal judge has blocked since.

Without factory unions, workers would be subjected to 12 hours, lower wages and injury. A UC Berkeley Research and Education Center of UC 2016 study It was found that a third of American manufacturing workers were based on a government assistance program such as food stamps and paying for manufacturing jobs behind manufacturing work.

“By promising more factory jobs will not cause prosperity again,” said Blanc.

This story originally presented to Fortune.com

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