Take any comfort of Trump’s reaction from America

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At 39 percent, Donald Trump has the lower Approval classification after 100 days in charge of any President of the United States since World War II. There are two types of people in the world. There are those who will consider this terrible number as history and those who will not be able to believe that it is so high. The second group has a better control of things.

Much is being made of the public reaction, as is – against Trump. Only 6 percent of those who supported it last November were regretted. (And these few sorry must weigh the 3 percent of Kamala Harris electors They say the same thing about their choice.) This is after the rates, the ambush of the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Oval Office, the promotion of Tesla cars on the white house driveway. As a reference, Trump had almost so low grades eight years ago and went to lead Joe Biden near the re -election, before winning in 2024.

Although the turn in the feeling against Trump was as decisive as it has been billed, the message would be: What? Treading the Constitution, but do you not dare to make the economy wrong? And in this there is a liberal consolation, right? For his first arrest, Trump retained help to Ukraine, who had been under attack since 2014, to ensure his help in excavating dirt in Biden. For his second, he sought to override the result of the presidential election, during which people died. The voters decided last November that these events do not disqualify. If the investments in the securities market push them above the edge now, this is fair enough, but we can tell us moral retirement.

The true lesson of the ballot box is the one we should not need. A very large minority of voters, more than a third, are more or less unattainable. This is not an electoral problem for Democrats, who can win without them, but it is constitutional for the United States. It is difficult to know what a republic is to survive a cauc so great that it is loyal to its partisan team, to a man, in fact, about any rule, principle or institution of the state.

Why are people so deeply rooted? Why is Trump’s basic support almost as firm as the literal bed? If you think the big problems need to have great causes, there is one that stands out. For some voters, the political tribe offers the sense of belonging that a religious affiliation made earlier, before the membership of the Church declared in the United States. The feeling of colleagues, the structure, is so loved as to override all ethical qualifications, just as an adorer will not have a word to say against a obvious low life of a shepherd. The left is not so different.

O The answer can be faster than that. One of the effects of social networks attracts too much attention. In the past, a citizen who took a political vision that he later regretted could leave it without shame, as Homer Simpson leaning on this fence. This is due to the fact that almost no one (including perhaps themselves) would remember their initial position. Now, there is likely to be a digital path, in the form of a tweet message, Facebook publication or WhatsApp.

As the children say, the “received”. So the social cost of changing their minds, friction, is more than it was. We are all columnists now, even if the reader is just friends, family and colleagues.

In 2003, most, not just a plurality, of British supported The Iraq war, according to Yougov. More than a decade later, the country “remembered” having a different vision. Today, before you would find someone who confessed to putting the hunter against Bambi’s mother to support the invasion. It is difficult to know if to feel horrified by this self-opting of the patent, or nostalgic during a time when people could slide and out of views without leaving an incriminating waste.

In any case, if the cause is technology or a famine for membership in groups in an atomized world, the effect is the same. A large part of those who went to the Maga about a decade ago will be there until the end. The reaction against Trump in recent weeks is large enough to encourage Democrats before the medium -term election in 2026. It is not so great that justifying part of the broadest optimism over the Republic. Although a recession induced by rate is completely the qualification of Trump, it is not the same as the revolt of the people in defense of the Constitution. And do not surprise you if many voters who hated economic pain under Biden sink much worse under Trump by their partisan intransigence.

America may have more than most, but there are voters unattainable in all democracies. Since the United Kingdom Reform of Nigel Farage has won the local election last week, with good sense adults In Britain, they have written ten -point plans to win their supporters, which include improving economic growth, because no one has ever thought about it before. And look, there are fans of Farage by half commitment, which can, in fact, be attracted to a slightly better government and other practical offers. But at some point the liberals will have to accept that western democracies now house a huge minority of voters who are lost indefinitely.

A start can be to put the popular revolt against Trump in some perspective. In a ballotalong Emerson College, a group who had chosen Harris by 1.2 percentage points in November, would now only do it again by 0.8 percentage points. He is grateful for the little Mercos and there is this.

Janan.ganeh@ft.com