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Despite increasing uncertainty about rates, commercial policy and economics, most main railways remained firm in their 2025 perspectives, contrasting with a wave of orientation cuts in other industries.
Between the five class and publicly contributed railways, Canadian National, Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific maintained their orientation intact, while Pacific Kansas City and CSX Canadian made slight downfalls during their first quarter results for the last three weeks.
Orientation serves as a key barometer of executives’ confidence in market conditions.
Cpkc (NYSE: CP) It maintained its forecast for the growth of the volume of average digits, but slightly cut its winning guide, citing the impact of a Canadian dollar stronger than expected. (The company reports in Canadian dollars.)
“We are definitely well in 2025 and we are also experiencing a strong start to the second quarter,” said CEO Keith Createl. “That said, there is certainly an undeniable macro -macrobeant uncertainty that exists, the uncertainty of commercial policy and the uncertainty of the currency. As such, based on what we know today, we feel that it is cautious and responsible for adjusting our orientation at this time.”
Despite the tariff risks for its cross -border network, CPKC still awaits a growth in the volume related to the merger this year. It also aims to develop a new traffic that connects Canada and Mexico as the United States increases trade barriers.
“We went into this commercial storm that we face to make ourselves in market manufacturers. We see opportunities with new commercial flows between Canada and Mexico,” said Createl. They include shipping south of refined fuels, GPP, plastics and grain movements and north of appliances, furniture, food products, finished vehicles and car pieces.
Similarly, CSX (NASDAQ: CSX) It still plans to see a growth of the volume of a whole year, but a previous orientation was withdrawn, which involved traffic gains in a range of 2% to 5%. Chief Commercial Director Kevin Boone said that the demand for goods is still strong despite the trade war that is creating economic uncertainty. The railway is also banking in burden growth, as new customer facilities open and increase production this year.
CPKC and CSX were far from alone, as many large companies reduced their financial orientation or removed it directly when they announced earnings from the first quarter. Among companies to suspend or reduce their perspectives: GM, Stellalantis, UPS, Jetblue, Delta Air Lines and Harley-Davidson.
CN (NYSE: CNI) The projects that their tonne income will increase by 2% to 5% this year. Its forecast largely depends on the support of the new customer facilities that are coming online this year, as well as easy comparisons last year, when the work inconvenience on the railway and the Canadian ports were volumes.